Archive for August, 2009

Pivot Point Trading In Forex Trading

Pivot points are some of the exciting trigger points for traders to enter positions in forex market as well as equity trading, although this is more or less extensively used in forex market. Calculating the pivot points is pretty simple and makes the trading day an eventful one if you got your calculations right.

So what is a pivot point? Quite expectedly the pivot point is one at which the market changes its direction for the day.

How to Calculate Pivot Points?
Use the simple formula for calculation:
Pivot point for the day = High (previous) + Low (previous) + Close (previous) 3
In short pivot point for the current day equals the average of high, low and close values for the previous day. Once having calculated the pivot point, you need to find out derivatives like three supports and resistance levels each for the current day. Here are the formulae to use for the purpose.

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How to Identify Trending in Forex Trading

Currencies tend to trend more and fluctuate less violently unlike stocks which behave pretty much the different way. The reason for this is not hard to understand. Currencies trend depending on the countries’ foreign and economic policies which are macro economic in nature and the currency pairs take fairly long enough time to react to any change in policies. Where as stock movements are more or less determined by microeconomic factors and market sentiments.

Euro/US Dollar: On Par at the Beginning
When Euro was brought into force its exchange rate was set officially at 1 USD a Euro. At that time there existed hardly any difference between the economies of US and the European Union. US had a GDP of $11.0 billion and European Union was pretty up close there at $10.5 billion. While US economy was growing at a good rate of above 3% per annum Europe was a bit sluggish and recorded slightly over 1.5%.

Gradual Shift In Favor Of Euro
But this was not coming in the way of Euro’s gradual march ahead of US Dollar. Look at other key economic factors for yourself. US had a deficit budget and the balance of trade was negatively skewed against US while the European Union had some of the seriously good parameters in exact contrast to that of the US’s. The trade balance sheets looked healthy and strong standing on the near equal GDP.

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Technical Analysis in Forex Trading

This is one method for analyzing the prices of the two. The other method is the fundamental analysis. These two approaches differ hugely in their approaches and scopes. Technical analysis basically deals with the previous price and volume changes and uses a set of statistical calculations to project the possible price trends.

Currencies tend to trend more and fluctuate less violently unlike stocks which behave pretty much the different way. The reason for this is not hard to understand. Currencies trend depending on the countries. foreign and economic policies which are macro economic in nature and the currency pairs take fairly long enough time to react to any change in policies. Where as stock movements are more or less determined by microeconomic factors and market sentiments.

Why Technical Analysis Is Critical For Forex Trading?
It is true that technical factors reflect changes to the fundamental parameters of a currency but but still technical approach to analyzing the movements of a forex currency grossly takes into consideration only the historic price and volume movements.

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